流感世界大流行的气候特征     

杨冬红  杨学祥 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2007,1(3):1-8

流感爆发与气候的剧烈变化有关。本文揭示了拉马德雷冷位相、拉尼娜、太阳黑子极值年、厄尔尼诺、低温冷害、沙尘暴、潮汐南北震荡异常与流行性感冒世界大流行相互对应的关系及其物理机制,对气候及其相关灾害的预测有重大科学意义。规律表明,在拉马德雷冷位相时期,全球强震、低温、飓风伴随拉尼娜、全球性流感伴随厄尔尼诺将越来越强烈。面对日益增大的全球灾害,长期气候预报意义重大。  相似文献   

潮汐和地震对全球气候变化的影响   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

杨冬红  杨学祥 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2007,1(4):5-12

2004年12月26日印尼地震海啸后,全球低温冻害和暴雪灾害频繁发生。"潮汐调温说"和"深海巨震降温说"是一种合理的解释。根据"潮汐调温说"和"深海巨震降温说"理论,2005年全球气温将因为印尼地震海啸和强潮汐南北震荡而降低。美国国家航空航天局(NASA)的科学家认为,一个较弱的厄尔尼诺现象和人类排放的温室气体将使2005年成为人类有记载以来最热的一年。事实上,2005年的温度低于1998年。现在,西方科学家也承认了2005—2007年自然气候的变化抵消了全球气候变暖效应这一客观事实。  相似文献   

Deconstructing the best case scenario: lessons from water politics in La Paz-El Alto, Bolivia     

Nina Laurie  Carlos Crespo 《Geoforum》2007,38(5):841-854

For nearly a decade the La Paz-El Alto concession in Bolivia was heralded by donor organizations, the state and the commercial water industry alike as an emblematic ‘pro-poor’ water concession under the private sector model. Managed by one of the largest water multinationals in the world (the French company Suez), the network was extended beyond the new connections required by the original ‘pro-poor’ contract, acclaimed as a pioneer of new pro-poor technologies and frequently disseminated internationally as an example of best practice. This paper analyses the La Paz-El Alto concession’s pro-poor image focusing on issues of social exclusion and network extension, contract negotiation, participation and transparency. It documents the rise of social protest about the concession and critiques the failure of neoliberal regulatory systems to promote accountability to the poor. In the context of the continued transnationalisation of the water industry the paper highlights the need for new mechanisms and delivery models to ensure greater national control over private companies and the development of a framework for international water governance.  相似文献   

U–Pb zircon chronostratigraphy of early-Pliocene ignimbrites from La Pacana, north Chile: implications for the formation of stratified magma chambers     

Axel K Schmitt  Jan M Lindsay  Shan de Silva  Robert B Trumbull 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2003,120(1-2):43-53

High spatial resolution U–Pb dates of zircons from two consanguineous ignimbrites of contrasting composition, the high-silica rhyolitic Toconao and the overlying dacitic Atana ignimbrites, erupted from La Pacana caldera, north Chile, are presented in this study. Zircons from Atana and Toconao pumice clasts yield apparent ²³⁸U/²⁰⁶Pb ages of 4.11±0.20 Ma and 4.65±0.13 Ma (2σ), respectively. These data combined with previously published geochemical and stratigraphic data, reveal that the two ignimbrites were erupted from a stratified magma chamber. The Atana zircon U–Pb ages closely agree with the eruption age of Atana previously determined by K–Ar dating (4.0±0.1 Ma) and do not support long (>1 Ma) residence times. Xenocrystic zircons were found only in the Toconao bulk ignimbrite, which were probably entrained during eruption and transport. Apparent ²³⁸U/²⁰⁶Pb zircon ages of 13 Ma in these xenocrysts provide the first evidence that the onset of felsic magmatism within the Altiplano–Puna ignimbrite province occurred approximately 3 Myr earlier than previously documented.  相似文献   

近50 a全球和三大洋海温距平的时空变化特征   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

王晓悦  钱永甫 《南京气象学院学报》2002,25(6):755-763

利用49a(1950-1998年)NCEP/NCAR逐月SSTA资料和EOF方法,分别对太平洋、大西洋、印度洋和全球海洋SSTA主要特征向量的空间分布和相应的时间变化进行了讨论。利用Morlet小波进一步分析了要素场的周期变化和能量变化。发现经EOF分解后的SSTA场具有很好的空间整体性和明显的年际和年代际变化。各大洋海温变化存在明显的同期和时滞相关关系,很好地体现了大洋间的协同作用和太平洋的主导作用。从不同的空间分布模态中选择海温变化显著的区域作为关键区,进行同期和时滞相关分析,结果发现各关键区之间具有明显的同期和时滞相关关系。  相似文献   

稀土钙钛矿型LaMnO3+λ系列化合物的结构计算与分析     

孙永安  孙立波  王显胜 《世界地质》2005,24(1):102-104

在不同氧分压下合成了LaMnO3 λ、系列化合物，用XRD法进行了结构测定与分析，用化学滴定法测定了Mn^4 含量，由测定结果计算晶胞参数，LaMnO3 λ中系数λ值和La^3 空位率。  相似文献   

牡丹江地区夏季旱涝特征及前兆信号初探     

于海军  车正浩 《黑龙江气象》2004,(3):1-3

利用牡丹江地区7个测站35年(1967～2001年)夏季(6～8月)平均降水资料，用修订过的正态化Z指数变换方法，对牡丹江地区夏季降水旱涝等级进行了划分，并分析La Nina事件对夏季旱涝的影响。结果表明：牡丹江地区夏季旱涝特征明显，具有阶段性和群发性特点，较重旱涝发生的几率较大；而且对La Nina事件有明显的响应，表现在事件的增长型期间牡丹江地区夏季易发生偏旱，而在减弱型期间易发生雨涝，并认为La Nina事件可以作为预测未来牡丹江地区夏季旱涝的一个重要参考因子。  相似文献   

热带大气季节内振荡的异常与1997年El Nino 事件的发生   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

李崇银  龙振夏 《大气科学》2001,25(5):589-595

利用美国NCEP资料分析热带大气季节内振荡(ISO)与ENSO的关系,揭示了1997年E1Nino事件的发生,与赤道中西太平洋地区大气ISO在1996年冬到1997年春期间的异常增强有重要关系.而且该地区ISO的异常增强并不主要由赤道印度洋地区移来,主要表现为ISO在印度尼西亚上空被激发增强和东传.印度尼西亚地区ISO的被激发,则是由于东亚冬季风强异常在该地区引起的强对流活动的结果.  相似文献   

Anthropogenic iodine-129 in seawater along a transect from the Norwegian coastal current to the North Pole     

Alfimov V  Aldahan A  Possnert G  Winsor P 《Marine pollution bulletin》2004,49(11-12):1097-1104

Variation in the concentrations of iodine-129 (129I, T1/2=15.7 Myr), a low-level radioactive component of nuclear fuel waste, is documented in surface waters and depth profiles collected during 2001 along a transect from the Norwegian Coastal Current to the North Pole. The surface waters near the Norwegian coast are found to have 20 times higher 129I concentration than the surface waters of the Arctic Ocean. The depth profiles of 129I taken in the Arctic Ocean reveal a sharp decline in the concentration to a depth of about 300-500 m followed by a weaker gradient extending down to the bottom. A twofold increase in the 129I concentration is observed in the upper 1000 m since 1996. Based on known estimates of marine transient time from the release sources (the nuclear reprocessing facilities at La Hague, France, and Sellafield, UK), a doubling in the 129I inventory of the top 1000 m of the Arctic Ocean is expected to occur between the years 2001 and 2006. As 129I of polar mixed layer and Atlantic layer of the Arctic Ocean is ventilated by the East Greenland Current into the Nordic Seas and North Atlantic Ocean, further dispersal and increase of the isotope concentration in these regions will be encountered in the near future.  相似文献   

鄱阳湖周边地区土壤垂向剖面 地球化学特征及第Ⅰ环境深度   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

毛大发  鄢新华  谢勇  王宁  周行运 《物探与化探》2005,29(2):101-104

通过对鄱阳湖周边厚覆盖区土壤垂深剖面的构成特点、土壤酸碱度、元素分布分配规律的分析研究,探讨了区内元素的相关组合特点及元素在深度方向上"含量稳定性拐折点"的位置,揭示了区域内土壤垂深剖面的地球化学特征与环境意义。根据数理统计原理,结合区域内土壤垂深剖面的地球化学特征和大规模生产的条件,指出区域内土壤第Ⅰ环境的合理采样深度为-150～-180 cm。  相似文献